Pre-tourney Rankings
St. John's
Big East
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.0#32
Expected Predictive Rating+13.9#21
Pace68.1#167
Improvement+4.3#30

Offense
Total Offense+6.0#32
Improvement+1.2#119

Defense
Total Defense+6.0#30
Improvement+3.1#43
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 6.2% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 99.2% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round58.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen23.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight7.2% n/a n/a
Final Four2.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.8% n/a n/a
National Champion0.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 5 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2010 44   @ St. Mary's L 71-76 44%     0 - 1 +8.5 +6.5 +6.7
  Nov 17, 2010 212   Columbia W 79-66 94%     1 - 1 +6.9 -2.5 -2.9
  Nov 25, 2010 167   Ball St. W 78-73 OT 87%     2 - 1 +4.9 +0.1 +0.0
  Nov 26, 2010 205   Drake W 82-39 91%     3 - 1 +40.3 -0.7 +0.0
  Nov 27, 2010 117   Arizona St. W 67-58 80%     4 - 1 +12.0 +1.7 +1.8
  Dec 01, 2010 234   Wagner W 69-61 95%     5 - 1 +1.0 -3.8 -2.8
  Dec 07, 2010 138   St. Bonaventure L 66-67 89%     5 - 2 -2.2 -1.0 -0.3
  Dec 11, 2010 290   @ Fordham L 81-84 93%     5 - 3 -7.8 -2.3 -2.6
  Dec 20, 2010 165   Davidson W 62-57 91%     6 - 3 +1.9 -1.9 -0.9
  Dec 21, 2010 55   Northwestern W 85-69 62%     7 - 3 +24.9 +4.9 +4.8
  Dec 29, 2010 17   @ West Virginia W 81-71 31%     8 - 3 1 - 0 +27.2 +9.1 +8.5
  Jan 01, 2011 86   @ Providence W 67-65 64%     9 - 3 2 - 0 +10.4 +3.9 +4.6
  Jan 03, 2011 22   Georgetown W 61-58 58%     10 - 3 3 - 0 +12.8 +5.1 +4.9
  Jan 08, 2011 8   @ Notre Dame L 61-76 23%     10 - 4 3 - 1 +4.9 +9.2 +10.1
  Jan 12, 2011 15   Syracuse L 59-76 48%     10 - 5 3 - 2 -4.5 +5.6 +6.1
  Jan 16, 2011 8   Notre Dame W 72-54 44%     11 - 5 4 - 2 +31.6 +6.5 +7.9
  Jan 19, 2011 11   @ Louisville L 63-88 24%     11 - 6 4 - 3 -5.7 +9.1 +9.1
  Jan 22, 2011 19   Cincinnati L 51-53 57%     11 - 7 4 - 4 +8.2 +4.6 +5.6
  Jan 26, 2011 22   @ Georgetown L 52-77 34%     11 - 8 4 - 5 -8.8 +7.1 +7.9
  Jan 30, 2011 2   Duke W 93-78 29%     12 - 8 +32.6 +9.3 +8.9
  Feb 02, 2011 70   Rutgers W 58-56 77%     13 - 8 5 - 5 +6.3 +1.8 +2.6
  Feb 05, 2011 50   @ UCLA L 59-66 47%     13 - 9 +5.9 +6.2 +6.3
  Feb 10, 2011 16   Connecticut W 89-72 50%     14 - 9 6 - 5 +28.9 +6.6 +6.1
  Feb 13, 2011 19   @ Cincinnati W 59-57 33%     15 - 9 7 - 5 +18.6 +8.3 +8.4
  Feb 15, 2011 23   @ Marquette W 80-68 34%     16 - 9 8 - 5 +28.1 +8.2 +8.5
  Feb 19, 2011 4   Pittsburgh W 60-59 37%     17 - 9 9 - 5 +16.4 +7.4 +8.1
  Feb 23, 2011 194   DePaul W 76-51 93%     18 - 9 10 - 5 +20.2 -2.3 -1.4
  Feb 26, 2011 28   @ Villanova W 81-68 36%     19 - 9 11 - 5 +28.7 +8.2 +8.1
  Mar 03, 2011 52   @ Seton Hall L 70-84 47%     19 - 10 11 - 6 -1.3 +6.4 +5.7
  Mar 05, 2011 112   South Florida W 72-56 86%     20 - 10 12 - 6 +16.2 +0.3 +0.6
  Mar 09, 2011 70   Rutgers W 65-63 77%     21 - 10 +6.3 +1.9 +2.4
  Mar 10, 2011 15   Syracuse L 73-79 36%     21 - 11 +9.7 +7.7 +7.7
Projected Record 21.0 - 11.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5.2 0.3 6.0 71.4 21.7 0.8 0.0 100.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5.2 0.3 6.0 71.4 21.7 0.8 0.0 100.0%